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Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Real Sao Luiz

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Leandro
60' Event
Tsague B.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Tsague B.

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2023 game between Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) and Real Sao Luiz finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Sao Luiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
6%
Draws
90%
Real Sao Luiz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Sao Luiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Sao Luiz come out ahead of Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Real Sao Luiz taking it.
  • Regular Roraimense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Real Sao Luiz here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 16%
Real Sao Luiz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Real Sao Luiz
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2024 Roraimense
Real Sao Luiz vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
2:1
Apr 18, 2023 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Real Sao Luiz
0:4
Apr 13, 2022 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Real Sao Luiz
1:3
Mar 12, 2022 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Real Sao Luiz
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Real Sao Luiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Leandro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsague B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 10 / 100
Real Sao Luiz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Real Sao Luiz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Real Sao Luiz let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Real Sao Luiz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) VS Real Sao Luiz
1 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Atletico Sampaio42116:37
2Atl. Roraima42114:47
3Nautico FC421114:127
4Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)41126:124
5Bare41034:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR541013:013
2Real Sao Luiz532014:511
3River Esporte Clube51045:133
4Progresso50148:161