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Atl. Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Dantas M.
18' Event
Sa Carlos
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) in this Roraimense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atl. Roraima
6%
Draws
90%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) have won more games recently than Atl. Roraima.
  • Model gives Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Atl. Roraima Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Roraima Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 5.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1:3
Mar 4, 2025 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Atl. Roraima
1:1
Apr 1, 2023 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
6:0
Apr 20, 2022 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Roraima Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Top Goalscorer Dantas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Roraima 10 / 100
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Roraima Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Atl. Roraima's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Roraima VS Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
5.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Atletico Sampaio751123:516
2Bare751119:316
3Monte Roraima742112:414
4Sao Raimundo RR741215:713
5Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)73139:1110
6Nautico FC71159:224
7Atl. Roraima70343:203
8Progresso70251:192