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Atlanta United 2 vs New York Red Bulls II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Fifth Third Stadium, Kennesaw, GA
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Match Events

41' Event
Gallagher C.
Assist: Rojas A.
45'
Jardines A.
45' Event
Rojas A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

New York Red Bulls II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York Red Bulls II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Atlanta United 2
15%
Draws
36%
New York Red Bulls II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlanta United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New York Red Bulls II lately — more wins on the board than Atlanta United 2.
  • Win probability leans Atlanta United 2's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
  • New York Red Bulls II have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Atlanta United 2 Clean Sheet 10%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlanta United 2 New York Red Bulls II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.21 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
1:2
May 30, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Atlanta United 2
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
0:1
Jul 7, 2024 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Atlanta United 2
6:2
Aug 21, 2023 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Atlanta United 2
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlanta United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dovlo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallagher C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlanta United 2 47 / 100
New York Red Bulls II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlanta United 2 New York Red Bulls II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlanta United 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlanta United 2's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

New York Red Bulls II has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Atlanta United 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlanta United 2 VS New York Red Bulls II
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlanta United 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Orlando City B
2 : 4
Atlanta United 2
13 Sept
Chattanooga
4 : 1
Atlanta United 2
08 Sept
Atlanta United 2
4 : 1
CT United FC
28 Aug
Inter Miami II
1 : 2
Atlanta United 2
22 Aug
Atlanta United 2
5 : 1
Orlando City B
Page 1 of 6

New York Red Bulls II

(Away)
20 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
1 : 2
Huntsville City
13 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
08 Sept
New York City II
4 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
29 Aug
CT United FC
2 : 4
New York Red Bulls II
23 Aug
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 1
Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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