Sport Picks
Atlanta United vs Charlotte FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA 
Match Events
22'
22'
Toklomati I.
Assist: Biel P.
45'
45'
Diani D.
48'
48'
Abada L.
Assist: Saint-Maximin A.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Atlanta United and Charlotte FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlotte FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charlotte FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Atlanta United haven't matched Charlotte FC's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 14%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atlanta United | Charlotte FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs Charlotte FC
0:2
Jul 23, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United
2:2
Apr 28, 2026 US Open Cup
Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs Charlotte FC
2:3
Mar 1, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atlanta United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Charlotte FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Toklomati I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abada L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atlanta United 31 / 100
Charlotte FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atlanta United Charlotte FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atlanta United's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Charlotte FC let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Atlanta United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atlanta United VS Charlotte FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atlanta United
(Home) 10 Oct
Atlanta United
1 : 3 FC Cincinnati
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2 New York City
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Atlanta United
1 : 3 FC Cincinnati
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2 New York City
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
29 Aug
Atlanta United
0 : 2 Charlotte FC
23 Aug
Atlanta United
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 3
Charlotte FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Charlotte FC
3 : 2 FC Dallas
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
29 Aug
Atlanta United
0 : 2 Charlotte FC
19 Aug
Toronto FC
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
