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Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls

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Club Friendly Toyota Stadium
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Atlanta United and New York Red Bulls finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atlanta United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atlanta United
6%
Draws
90%
New York Red Bulls
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New York Red Bulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New York Red Bulls carry the better recent record into this one.
  • New York Red Bulls are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 16%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlanta United New York Red Bulls
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls
3:2
May 31, 2025 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 MLS
Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlanta United 10 / 100
New York Red Bulls 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlanta United New York Red Bulls

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: New York Red Bulls conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Atlanta United scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Atlanta United stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlanta United VS New York Red Bulls
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%