Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlante vs Club Leon

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Cambindo D. In: Alvarado A.
Out: Cambindo D.
46'
Sub
Diaz I. In: Arcila D.
Out: Diaz I.
46'
Sub
Beltran Cruz F. In: Cortizo J.
Out: Beltran Cruz F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atlante
35%
Draws
35%
Club Leon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Club Leon have won more games recently than Atlante.
  • Club Leon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atlante Clean Sheet 11%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlante Club Leon
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 12 2
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga MX
Atlante vs Club Leon
1:1
Aug 24, 2016 Copa Mexico
Club Leon vs Atlante
1:3
Jul 27, 2016 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Club Leon
0:1
Jan 5, 2014 Liga MX
Atlante vs Club Leon
1:1
Jul 21, 2013 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Atlante
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlante Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarrafiore M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Club Leon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlante 10 / 100
Club Leon 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlante Club Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atlante scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Club Leon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Atlante stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlante VS Club Leon
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlante

(Home)
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 7

Club Leon

(Away)
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
06 Sept
Club Leon
1 : 0
Club America
03 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
3 Club America 8 5 2 1 17:8 17
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
6 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
7 Club Leon 9 4 2 3 12:10 14
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
13 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
14 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
15 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
16 Atletico San Luis 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
17 Necaxa 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
18 Juarez 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)