Sport Picks
Atlante vs Jaiba Brava
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Agustín "Coruco" Díaz 
AI Match Summary
Atlante play Jaiba Brava in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atlante averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1 conceded. Jaiba Brava averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Atlante won 1, Jaiba Brava won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Atlante and 1.31 for Jaiba Brava. This points to a Jaiba Brava double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Atlante picked up more points recently compared to Jaiba Brava.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atlante | Jaiba Brava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atlante Compare
Jaiba Brava Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atlante scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Jaiba Brava let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Atlante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Jaiba Brava lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |