Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlante vs Monterrey

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Julio J.
107' Event
Fimbres I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Atlante
35%
Draws
45%
Monterrey
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monterrey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlante haven't matched Monterrey's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Atlante Clean Sheet 10%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlante Monterrey
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlante vs Monterrey
1:1
Mar 30, 2014 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atlante
3:2
Oct 6, 2013 Liga MX
Atlante vs Monterrey
2:1
Feb 4, 2013 Liga MX
Atlante vs Monterrey
3:1
Aug 19, 2012 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atlante
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlante Compare

Top Goalscorer Julio J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Monterrey Compare

Top Goalscorer Fimbres I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlante 34 / 100
Monterrey 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlante Monterrey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlante scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Monterrey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Atlante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlante VS Monterrey
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlante

(Home)
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
22 Aug
Tigres UANL
2 : 0
Atlante
15 Aug
Atlante
0 : 0
Toluca
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Monterrey

(Away)
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
07 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Monterrey
03 Sept
Club America
2 : 3
Monterrey
31 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 3
Atletico San Luis
26 Aug
Monterrey
2 : 1
Chicago Fire
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