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Atlante vs Monterrey

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlante play Monterrey in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atlante averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Monterrey averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Atlante won 2, Monterrey won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Atlante and 1.44 for Monterrey. This points to a Atlante double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atlante
44%
Draws
20%
Monterrey
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlante has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Monterrey.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Atlante Clean Sheet 16%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlante Monterrey
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlante vs Monterrey
1:1
Mar 30, 2014 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atlante
3:2
Oct 6, 2013 Liga MX
Atlante vs Monterrey
2:1
Feb 4, 2013 Liga MX
Atlante vs Monterrey
3:1
Aug 19, 2012 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atlante
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlante 36 / 100
Monterrey 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlante Monterrey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlante scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

Monterrey let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Atlante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Monterrey lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlante VS Monterrey
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%