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Atlante vs Toluca

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Atlante and Toluca finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Atlante
30%
Draws
58%
Toluca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Toluca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlante haven't matched Toluca's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Toluca a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atlante Clean Sheet 10%
Toluca Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlante Toluca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 12 3
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.31 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga MX
Atlante vs Toluca
0:0
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlante vs Toluca
3:3
Oct 25, 2017 Copa Mexico
Toluca vs Atlante
1:2
Feb 18, 2015 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Toluca
1:1
Feb 4, 2015 Copa Mexico
Toluca vs Atlante
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlante 10 / 100
Toluca 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlante Toluca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toluca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atlante scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Toluca let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Atlante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlante VS Toluca
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlante

(Home)
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
22 Aug
Tigres UANL
2 : 0
Atlante
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Toluca

(Away)
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
07 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Monterrey
03 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Club Leon
31 Aug
Toluca
4 : 0
Juarez
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