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Atlante vs Zacatecas Mineros

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Agustín "Coruco" Díaz
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlante play Zacatecas Mineros in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atlante averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Zacatecas Mineros averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Atlante won 4, Zacatecas Mineros won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Atlante and 1.63 for Zacatecas Mineros. This points to a Atlante double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Atlante
17%
Draws
13%
Zacatecas Mineros
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Atlante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Atlante has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Zacatecas Mineros.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Atlante.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Atlante Clean Sheet 14%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlante Zacatecas Mineros
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 13 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Zacatecas Mineros
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Atlante
1:4
Apr 12, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Zacatecas Mineros
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Atlante
0:1
Mar 20, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Zacatecas Mineros
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlante Compare

Top Goalscorer Calzadilla L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zacatecas Mineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlante 66 / 100
Zacatecas Mineros 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlante Zacatecas Mineros

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlante scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Zacatecas Mineros let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Atlante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zacatecas Mineros lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlante VS Zacatecas Mineros
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tepatitlan de Morelos1475221:1026
2Cancun1474324:1725
3Club Atletico Morelia1472518:1223
4Atletico La Paz1457222:1222
5Jaiba Brava1463515:1521
6Zacatecas Mineros1463519:2021
7Tapatio1462628:2420
8Atlante1455421:1720
9Irapuato1462627:2420
10Tlaxcala1455416:1720
11Venados FC1444625:2516
12Alebrijes de Oaxaca1444620:2916
13Dorados de Sinaloa1434717:2813
14Correcaminos1433814:2712
15Leones Negros1425715:2511