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Atlante W vs Toluca W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women CAR Atlante – field 1, Ciudad de Mexico
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Robert F.
46'
Sub
Vazquez S. In: Cuevas B.
Out: Vazquez S.
49' Event
Fernandez L.
Assist: Blackwood D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Atlante W and Toluca W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toluca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Atlante W
15%
Draws
59%
Toluca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Toluca W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Toluca W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Atlante W Clean Sheet 10%
Toluca W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlante W Toluca W
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 2 18
Draws 1 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.6 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atlante W vs Toluca W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlante W Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Toluca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henry A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlante W 22 / 100
Toluca W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlante W Toluca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toluca W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toluca W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Atlante W scored in 50% of their last 10 games.

Recent resilience: Atlante W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlante W VS Toluca W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlante W

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Tijuana W
1 : 0
Atlante W
28 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
21 Sept
Atlante W
2 : 1
Queretaro W
12 Sept
Atlas W
1 : 0
Atlante W
08 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 1
Juarez W
Page 1 of 2

Toluca W

(Away)
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2
Toluca W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4
Toluca W
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7
Tigres UANL W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0
Club Tijuana W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1
Toluca W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)