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Atlantico EC vs Alagoinhas

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Atlantico EC
22%
Draws
18%
Alagoinhas
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atlantico EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Atlantico EC have won more games recently than Alagoinhas.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Atlantico EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Atlantico EC Clean Sheet 20%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlantico EC Alagoinhas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2016 Baiano 2
Atlantico EC vs Alagoinhas
1:1
Jul 16, 2016 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Atlantico EC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlantico EC 58 / 100
Alagoinhas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlantico EC Alagoinhas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlantico EC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Alagoinhas conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Alagoinhas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alagoinhas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Teixeira de Freitas1070320:1121
2Atlantico EC1053216:1018
3EC Ypiranga1052320:1417
4Alagoinhas1033411:1412
5Catuense1032512:1911
6Juazeiro1012712:235