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Atlas Paillade vs Bourg Peronnas

France France

Coupe de France
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlas Paillade play Bourg Peronnas in the Coupe de France. Atlas Paillade are favorites here. Recently, Atlas Paillade averaged 0 goals scored and 2 conceded. Bourg Peronnas averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Atlas Paillade won 0, Bourg Peronnas won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 15, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Atlas Paillade and 0.86 for Bourg Peronnas. This points to a Atlas Paillade double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Atlas Paillade
25%
Draws
15%
Bourg Peronnas
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Atlas Paillade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Atlas Paillade picked up more points recently compared to Bourg Peronnas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Atlas Paillade Clean Sheet 25%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Paillade Bourg Peronnas
Matches Played 1 31
Wins 0 11
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 15
Goals Scored 0 0.9
Goals Conceded 2 1.39

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Coupe de France
Atlas Paillade vs Bourg Peronnas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas Paillade Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Bourg Peronnas Compare

Top Goalscorer Boumaaoui M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas Paillade 59 / 100
Bourg Peronnas 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Paillade Bourg Peronnas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlas Paillade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Atlas Paillade & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atlas Paillade attacking → ← attacking Bourg Peronnas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlas Paillade scored in 0% of their last 1 games.

Bourg Peronnas let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Atlas Paillade went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Bourg Peronnas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 38
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75