Sport Picks
Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
Mexico
Liga MX U21 2025/2026 
Match Events
9'
9'
Zamarripa D.
38'
38'
Serrato J.
68'
68'
Rodriguez E.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Atlas U21 and Guadalajara Chivas U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atlas U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas U21 come out ahead of Atlas U21 on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Atlas U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atlas U21 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Atlas U21
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Atlas U21
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atlas U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Medrano E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Zamarripa D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atlas U21 32 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atlas U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atlas U21's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Guadalajara Chivas U21 let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Atlas U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atlas U21 VS Guadalajara Chivas U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atlas U21
(Home) 19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2 UNAM Pumas U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Atlas U21
05 Sept
Atlas U21
4 : 0 Atlante U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0 Queretaro U21
22 Aug
Cruz Azul U21
3 : 2 Atlas U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2 UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atlas U21
4 : 0 Atlante U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0 Queretaro U21
15 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0 Tigres UANL U21
01 Aug
Atlas U21
0 : 1 Monterrey U21
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Guadalajara Chivas U21
(Away) 19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 2 Club Tijuana U21
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
16 Aug
Santos Laguna U21
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas U21
31 Jul
Puebla U21
1 : 0 Guadalajara Chivas U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America U21 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 32:20 | 32 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 26:19 | 32 |
| 3 | Juarez U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Monterrey U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 27:25 | 30 |
| 5 | Pachuca U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 30:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Toluca U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 32:22 | 29 |
| 7 | Atlas U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 21:23 | 29 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Club Leon U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 18:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Necaxa U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 23:25 | 26 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 25:24 | 24 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana U21 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 28:23 | 22 |
| 14 | Cruz Azul U21 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 17:21 | 22 |
| 15 | Puebla U21 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 17:22 | 20 |
| 16 | Queretaro U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20:27 | 20 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna U21 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:25 | 20 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC U21 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 5:31 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
