Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Atlas U21 Logo

Atlas U21

1 - 1
FT
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Logo

Guadalajara Chivas U21

Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
82' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Atlas U21
15%
Draws
57%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Atlas U21 haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas U21's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Guadalajara Chivas U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atlas U21, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atlas U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Atlas U21
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Atlas U21
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas U21 32 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlas U21 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Guadalajara Chivas U21 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Atlas U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas U21 VS Guadalajara Chivas U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 2
Atlas U21
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0
Atlas U21
05 Sept
Atlas U21
4 : 0
Atlante U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Queretaro U21
Page 1 of 6

Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Club America U21 2
UNAM Pumas U21 2
Monterrey U21 3
Pachuca U21 5
Guadalajara Chivas U21 2
Atlas U21 1
Juarez U21 3
Toluca U21 3
Semi-finals
Club America U21 4
Pachuca U21 4
Guadalajara Chivas U21 0
Juarez U21 0
Final
Club America U21 1
Guadalajara Chivas U21 4