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Atlas U21 vs Mazatlan FC U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Arroyo L.
45'
Arredondo A.
45'
Velazquez E.

AI Match Summary

Atlas U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlas U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Atlas U21
17%
Draws
13%
Mazatlan FC U21
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Atlas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atlas U21 lately — more wins on the board than Mazatlan FC U21.
  • Model gives Atlas U21 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atlas U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Mazatlan FC U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas U21 Mazatlan FC U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 1 0
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Mazatlan FC U21
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Liga MX U21
Mazatlan FC U21 vs Atlas U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arroyo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mazatlan FC U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas U21 67 / 100
Mazatlan FC U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas U21 Mazatlan FC U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mazatlan FC U21 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Atlas U21 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Mazatlan FC U21 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlas U21 VS Mazatlan FC U21
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America U2117120532:2032
2Guadalajara Chivas U2117100726:1932
3Juarez U2117110623:1832
4Monterrey U2117110627:2530
5Pachuca U211790830:1829
6Toluca U211790832:2229
7Atlas U2117100721:2329
8UNAM Pumas U2117110623:2628
9Club Leon U211790818:1627
10Necaxa U2117100723:2526
11Tigres UANL U211780920:1824
12Atletico San Luis U211780925:2424
13Club Tijuana U2117601128:2322
14Cruz Azul U2117701017:2122
15Puebla U2117501217:2220
16Queretaro U211780920:2720
17Santos Laguna U2117501216:2520
18Mazatlan FC U211740135:3113