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Atlas vs El Porvenir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlas host El Porvenir in the Primera C. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Atlas have averaged 0.79 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against El Porvenir's 0.86 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Atlas have won 3 to El Porvenir's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.94 - 0.69) back Atlas to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atlas
30%
Draws
47%
El Porvenir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Porvenir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Atlas have won more games recently than El Porvenir.
  • Model gives Atlas a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Atlas Clean Sheet 20%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas El Porvenir
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 14
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.79 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Atlas
0:1
Nov 20, 2024 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Atlas
2:2
Jun 18, 2024 Primera C
Atlas vs El Porvenir
2:1
Oct 17, 2022 Primera C
Atlas vs El Porvenir
0:0
Jun 12, 2022 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Atlas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 42 / 100
El Porvenir 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas El Porvenir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: El Porvenir conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

El Porvenir's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Atlas scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS El Porvenir
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
06 Oct
Fenix
1 : 0
Atlas
27 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Sportivo Barracas
19 Sept
Club Lujan
1 : 0
Atlas
12 Sept
Berazategui
2 : 0
Atlas
06 Sept
Atlas
0 : 0
General Lamadrid
Page 1 of 6

El Porvenir

(Away)
05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1
Canuelas
29 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
3 : 2
El Porvenir
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2
Deportivo Espanol
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1
El Porvenir
05 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 0
El Porvenir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)