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Atlas vs Mazatlan FC

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Jalisco
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Djurdjevic U.
Assist: Garcia M. E.
57'
Sub
Garcia M. E. In: Aguirre E.
Out: Garcia M. E.
70'
Sub
Gonzalez A. In: Zaldivar E.
Out: Gonzalez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Atlas and Mazatlan FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atlas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atlas
33%
Draws
27%
Mazatlan FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Atlas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Atlas taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Atlas Clean Sheet 68%
Mazatlan FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Mazatlan FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.5 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Mazatlan FC
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Atlas
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Atlas
3:2
Oct 19, 2024 Liga MX
Atlas vs Mazatlan FC
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Atlas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas Compare

Top Goalscorer Djurdjevic U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Mazatlan FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 50 / 100
Mazatlan FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Mazatlan FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazatlan FC has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Atlas's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mazatlan FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Mazatlan FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.29
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.43
25% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812