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Atlas vs Pachuca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlas host Pachuca in the Liga MX. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Pachuca have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Atlas have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Pachuca slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.94) back Pachuca to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Atlas
35%
Draws
13%
Pachuca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atlas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pachuca lately — more wins on the board than Atlas.
  • Win probability leans Atlas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Atlas Clean Sheet 10%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Pachuca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Atlas
3:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Pachuca
0:3
Feb 2, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Atlas
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Liga MX
Atlas vs Pachuca
2:0
Feb 1, 2024 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Atlas
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 47 / 100
Pachuca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Pachuca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Atlas scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Pachuca has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Atlas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Pachuca
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
22 Oct
Atlas
2 : 5
Club America
17 Oct
Necaxa
0 : 2
Atlas
11 Oct
Atlas
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

Pachuca

(Away)
22 Oct
Pachuca
1 : 2
Cruz Azul
19 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Pachuca
11 Oct
Pachuca
3 : 3
Necaxa
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0
Pachuca
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 12 8 3 1 32:16 27
2 Guadalajara Chivas 14 7 5 2 21:12 26
3 Toluca 14 6 5 3 29:19 23
4 Cruz Azul 13 7 2 4 29:22 23
5 Club Leon 14 6 4 4 21:18 22
6 Atlas 13 6 3 4 21:23 21
7 Monterrey 13 6 2 5 23:18 20
8 Queretaro 12 6 2 4 16:15 20
9 Santos Laguna 13 6 1 6 19:16 19
10 Atletico San Luis 14 5 4 5 19:22 19
11 Club Tijuana 12 4 5 3 17:16 17
12 UNAM Pumas 14 4 5 5 20:23 17
13 Puebla 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
14 Tigres UANL 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
15 Atlante 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
16 Pachuca 13 3 4 6 20:18 13
17 Necaxa 14 2 4 8 16:27 10
18 Juarez 14 1 2 11 9:33 5
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)