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Atlas W vs Atlante W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
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Match Events

51'
Walker R.
54'
Martinez A.
59'
Sub
Vlassopoulos E. In: Huerta R. F. T.
Out: Vlassopoulos E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Atlas W and Atlante W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atlas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atlas W
20%
Draws
29%
Atlante W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atlas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atlas W come out ahead of Atlante W on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Atlas W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 16%
Atlante W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas W Atlante W
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 7 2
Draws 6 1
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.37 0.6
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Atlante W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atlante W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas W 41 / 100
Atlante W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas W Atlante W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlas W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Atlante W conceded in 80% of 10 recent games.

Recent resilience: Atlas W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Atlante W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlas W VS Atlante W
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas W

(Home)
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
20 Sept
Club America W
2 : 2
Atlas W
12 Sept
Atlas W
1 : 0
Atlante W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
6 : 1
Atlas W
Page 1 of 6

Atlante W

(Away)
04 Oct
Club Tijuana W
1 : 0
Atlante W
28 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
21 Sept
Atlante W
2 : 1
Queretaro W
12 Sept
Atlas W
1 : 0
Atlante W
08 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 1
Juarez W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)