Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas W vs Club Leon W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
01:06 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlas W host Club Leon W in the Liga MX Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Club Leon W have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Atlas W have conceded 2.3 and scored 1.37. Head-to-head, Atlas W have won 0 to Club Leon W's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.25 - 2.00) back Club Leon W to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Atlas W
15%
Draws
39%
Club Leon W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Leon W lately — more wins on the board than Atlas W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Club Leon W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 10%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas W Club Leon W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Atlas W
4:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Club Leon W
2:4
Feb 16, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Atlas W
4:3
Aug 2, 2024 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Club Leon W
0:0
Jan 18, 2024 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Club Leon W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas W 30 / 100
Club Leon W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas W Club Leon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atlas W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Club Leon W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Atlas W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atlas W VS Club Leon W
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas W

(Home)
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
20 Sept
Club America W
2 : 2
Atlas W
12 Sept
Atlas W
1 : 0
Atlante W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
6 : 1
Atlas W
Page 1 of 6

Club Leon W

(Away)
28 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 5
Club America W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0
Club Leon W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)