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Atlas W vs Guadalajara Chivas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Atlas W Logo

Atlas W

0 - 4
FT
Guadalajara Chivas W Logo

Guadalajara Chivas W

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Casarez J. A.
36' Event
Castro D.
Assist: Mauleon M.
46'
Sub
Huerta R. F. T. In: Vlassopoulos E.
Out: Huerta R. F. T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Atlas W and Guadalajara Chivas W finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara Chivas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atlas W
15%
Draws
54%
Guadalajara Chivas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas W come out ahead of Atlas W on wins alone.
  • Guadalajara Chivas W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guadalajara Chivas W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 10%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas W Guadalajara Chivas W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.34 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.24 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:4
Feb 17, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Atlas W
4:2
Aug 18, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Atlas W
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Casarez J. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas W 10 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas W Guadalajara Chivas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Atlas W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Guadalajara Chivas W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Atlas W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atlas W VS Guadalajara Chivas W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas W

(Home)
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
20 Sept
Club America W
2 : 2
Atlas W
12 Sept
Atlas W
1 : 0
Atlante W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
6 : 1
Atlas W
Page 1 of 6

Guadalajara Chivas W

(Away)
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)