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Atlas W vs Puebla W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlas W host Puebla W in the Liga MX Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Puebla W have shipped 3.14 goals a game lately, while Atlas W have conceded 2.3 and scored 1.37. Head-to-head, Atlas W have won 3 to Puebla W's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.81 - 1.63) back Atlas W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Atlas W
15%
Draws
0%
Puebla W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Puebla W haven't matched Atlas W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Atlas W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 14%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas W Puebla W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.37 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.3 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Atlas W
2:1
Jul 25, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Puebla W
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Atlas W
0:3
Oct 18, 2024 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Puebla W
3:0
Mar 13, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Atlas W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas W 57 / 100
Puebla W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas W Puebla W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlas W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlas W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Puebla W let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Puebla W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atlas W VS Puebla W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas W

(Home)
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
20 Sept
Club America W
2 : 2
Atlas W
12 Sept
Atlas W
1 : 0
Atlante W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
6 : 1
Atlas W
Page 1 of 6

Puebla W

(Away)
02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Puebla W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)