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Atlet Kiev vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Shishkin S.
7' Event
Movchan N.
29' Event
Sitalo A.

AI Match Summary

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya in this Druha Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Atlet Kiev
20%
Draws
34%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atlet Kiev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atlet Kiev lately — more wins on the board than MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya.
  • Atlet Kiev are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Druha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Atlet Kiev Clean Sheet 68%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlet Kiev MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.72 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Druha Liga
Atlet Kiev vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlet Kiev Compare

Top Goalscorer Shishkin S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Movchan N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Top Goalscorer Zelinskyi D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sitalo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlet Kiev 77 / 100
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlet Kiev MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlet Kiev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlet Kiev scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Atlet Kiev stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlet Kiev VS MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
2 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlet Kiev

(Home)
02 Oct
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 1
Atlet Kiev
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Sept
SC Poltava 2
0 : 3
Atlet Kiev
13 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
04 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 0
Oleksandriya 2
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MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

(Away)
09 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 0
SC Poltava 2
04 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
20 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Lozova
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 9 7 2 0 25:8 23
2 Dnister Zalishchyky 9 5 2 2 17:13 17
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 9 1 4 4 12:19 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 9 3 2 4 5:7 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)