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Atlet Kiev vs Nyva Vinnytsya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Pogorilyi V.
27' Event
Krytskyi O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Druha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atlet Kiev
30%
Draws
39%
Nyva Vinnytsya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Atlet Kiev haven't matched Nyva Vinnytsya's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Atlet Kiev a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Atlet Kiev Clean Sheet 14%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlet Kiev Nyva Vinnytsya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.72 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Druha Liga
Atlet Kiev vs Nyva Vinnytsya
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Druha Liga
Atlet Kiev vs Nyva Vinnytsya
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Atlet Kiev
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlet Kiev Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nyva Vinnytsya Compare

Top Goalscorer Pogorilyi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlet Kiev 35 / 100
Nyva Vinnytsya 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlet Kiev Nyva Vinnytsya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlet Kiev's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nyva Vinnytsya conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Atlet Kiev has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atlet Kiev VS Nyva Vinnytsya
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlet Kiev

(Home)
02 Oct
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 1
Atlet Kiev
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Sept
SC Poltava 2
0 : 3
Atlet Kiev
13 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
04 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 0
Oleksandriya 2
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Nyva Vinnytsya

(Away)
03 Oct
Skala 1911
2 : 2
Nyva Vinnytsya
26 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 : 0
Dnister Zalishchyky
19 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
10 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
04 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
4 : 1
Nyva Ternopil 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kulikiv 30 21 5 4 58:18 68
2 Zhytomyr 2 30 18 9 3 69:22 63
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 30 15 6 9 42:32 51
4 Nyva Ternopil 2 30 16 2 12 30:43 50
5 Atlet Kiev 30 14 4 12 45:48 46
6 FC Uzhhorod 30 13 5 12 40:37 44
7 Skala 1911 30 13 5 12 62:48 44
8 FC Vilkhivtsi 30 12 5 13 50:46 41
9 Bukovyna 2 30 7 6 17 31:57 27
10 Real Pharma Odesa 30 1 4 25 18:96 7
11 Lisne 30 8 3 19 32:30 27
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotyv Kyiv 30 22 4 4 65:16 70
2 Kolos Kovalivka 2 30 21 6 3 64:22 69
3 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 30 17 6 7 58:41 57
4 Rebel Kyiv 30 15 5 10 34:27 50
5 Livyi Bereg 2 30 13 9 8 50:28 48
6 Trostyanets 30 13 8 9 46:31 47
7 Oleksandriya 2 30 12 8 10 37:32 44
8 Ch. Odesa 2 30 5 9 16 25:56 24
9 Dinaz Vyshgorod 30 5 4 21 26:62 19
10 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 30 3 8 19 27:64 17
11 Hirnyk-Sport 30 3 5 22 20:73 14
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)