Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlet Kiev vs Nyva Vinnytsya

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Pogorilyi V.
27' Event
Krytskyi O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Druha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atlet Kiev
33%
Draws
27%
Nyva Vinnytsya
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Atlet Kiev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlet Kiev haven't matched Nyva Vinnytsya's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Atlet Kiev a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Atlet Kiev Clean Sheet 16%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlet Kiev Nyva Vinnytsya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Druha Liga
Atlet Kiev vs Nyva Vinnytsya
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Druha Liga
Atlet Kiev vs Nyva Vinnytsya
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Atlet Kiev
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlet Kiev Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nyva Vinnytsya Compare

Top Goalscorer Pogorilyi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlet Kiev 39 / 100
Nyva Vinnytsya 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlet Kiev Nyva Vinnytsya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlet Kiev's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nyva Vinnytsya conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Nyva Vinnytsya registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlet Kiev VS Nyva Vinnytsya
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlet Kiev

(Home)
15 May
Skala 1911
3 : 1
Atlet Kiev
10 May
Atlet Kiev
1 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
06 May
Nyva Ternopil 2
3 : 1
Atlet Kiev
01 May
Atlet Kiev
0 : 0
Zhytomyr 2
25 Apr
Kulikiv
2 : 0
Atlet Kiev
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Vinnytsya

(Away)
18 Jul
Ch. Odesa
2 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
03 Jul
Obolon
2 : 0
Nyva Vinnytsya
28 Jun
Nyva Vinnytsya
1 : 4
Epitsentr
22 May
FC Uzhhorod
2 : 0
Nyva Vinnytsya
16 May
Nyva Vinnytsya
:
Lisne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kulikiv30215458:1868
2Zhytomyr 230189369:2263
3Nyva Vinnytsya30156942:3251
4Nyva Ternopil 2301621230:4350
5Atlet Kiev301441245:4846
6FC Uzhhorod301351240:3744
7Skala 1911301351262:4844
8FC Vilkhivtsi301251350:4641
9Bukovyna 230761731:5727
10Real Pharma Odesa30142518:967
11Lisne30831932:3027
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotyv Kyiv30224465:1670
2Kolos Kovalivka 230216364:2269
3Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka30176758:4157
4Rebel Kyiv301551034:2750
5Livyi Bereg 230139850:2848
6Trostyanets30138946:3147
7Oleksandriya 2301281037:3244
8Ch. Odesa 230591625:5624
9Dinaz Vyshgorod30542126:6219
10Penuel Kryvyi Rih30381927:6417
11Hirnyk-Sport30352220:7314
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)