Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlet Kiev vs Rebel Kyiv

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Garbar G.
45' Event
Movchan N.
47'
Shpachenko I.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga game between Atlet Kiev and Rebel Kyiv finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rebel Kyiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Atlet Kiev
30%
Draws
33%
Rebel Kyiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atlet Kiev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Atlet Kiev carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atlet Kiev a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Atlet Kiev Clean Sheet 68%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlet Kiev Rebel Kyiv
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Druha Liga
Atlet Kiev vs Rebel Kyiv
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlet Kiev Compare

Top Goalscorer Movchan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Danylenko Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rebel Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Garbar G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrukhiv B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlet Kiev 86 / 100
Rebel Kyiv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlet Kiev Rebel Kyiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlet Kiev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlet Kiev found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Rebel Kyiv conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Atlet Kiev has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atlet Kiev VS Rebel Kyiv
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlet Kiev

(Home)
13 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
04 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 0
Oleksandriya 2
29 Aug
Lozova
2 : 3
Atlet Kiev
23 Aug
Novyi Rozdil
2 : 1
Atlet Kiev
16 Aug
Atlet Kiev
1 : 1
Trostyanets
Page 1 of 6

Rebel Kyiv

(Away)
12 Sept
Oleksandriya 2
1 : 1
Rebel Kyiv
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
0 : 4
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
16 Aug
SC Poltava 2
2 : 0
Rebel Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 Dnister Zalishchyky 6 4 1 1 13:8 13
3 Nyva Ternopil 2 6 3 0 3 6:11 9
4 Nyva Vinnytsya 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
5 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
6 Skala 1911 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
7 Dinaz Vyshgorod 6 0 4 2 10:16 4
8 Rukh Lviv 5 1 0 4 8:8 3
9 FC Vilkhivtsi 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oleksandriya 2 7 2 4 1 8:6 10
2 Rebel Kyiv 6 3 1 2 12:11 10
3 Karbon Cherkasy 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
4 Atlet Kiev 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 SC Poltava 2 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
6 Trostyanets 5 1 3 1 3:2 6
7 Lozova 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
8 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
9 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)