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Atletic Escaldes vs Carroi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026 Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Piloto R.
12'
Caceres A.
25'
Carpio Y.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió 2025/2026 game between Atletic Escaldes and Carroi finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletic Escaldes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atletic Escaldes
20%
Draws
29%
Carroi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletic Escaldes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletic Escaldes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Atletic Escaldes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletic Escaldes have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Atletic Escaldes Clean Sheet 68%
Carroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletic Escaldes Carroi
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 4
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.68 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Carroi
3:0
Jan 31, 2026 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Atletic Escaldes
1:4
Oct 29, 2025 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Carroi
3:0
Mar 10, 2024 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Carroi
2:1
Feb 25, 2024 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Atletic Escaldes
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletic Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Piloto R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pujol M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Carroi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletic Escaldes 95 / 100
Carroi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletic Escaldes Carroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletic Escaldes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Atletic Escaldes found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Carroi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Atletic Escaldes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletic Escaldes VS Carroi
1.88 Goals Scored 0.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.71
100% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletic Escaldes

(Home)
20 Sept
Casa de Portugal
0 : 3
Atletic Escaldes
12 Sept
Atletic Escaldes
4 : 1
Sporting Escaldes
09 Sept
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
30 Jul
Atletic Escaldes
0 : 2
Vaduz
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Carroi

(Away)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)