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Atletico Albericia vs Castro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between Atletico Albericia and Castro finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Albericia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Atletico Albericia
30%
Draws
58%
Castro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Castro haven't matched Atletico Albericia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atletico Albericia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atletico Albericia Clean Sheet 14%
Castro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Albericia Castro
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.62 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Castro
4:2
Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Atletico Albericia
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Castro
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Castro
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Atletico Albericia
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Albericia 31 / 100
Castro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Albericia Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Albericia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Castro conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Atletico Albericia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Albericia VS Castro
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Albericia

(Home)
03 Oct
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Atletico Albericia
27 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
Solares
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0
Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
CD Laredo
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
Page 1 of 7

Castro

(Away)
04 Oct
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Sept
Castro
0 : 2
Atletico Mineros
19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Castro
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 5 5 0 0 11:2 15
2 Bezana 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
3 CD Laredo 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
4 Vimenor 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
5 Cayon CD 5 3 1 1 5:2 10
6 Torina 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
7 UD Samano 5 2 2 1 12:6 8
8 CD Revilla 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
9 Selaya 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Atletico Mineros 5 2 0 3 4:11 6
11 Castro 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
12 UM Escobedo 5 1 2 2 3:7 5
13 Guarnizo 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Solares 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
15 Velarde 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 Atletico Albericia 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
17 Naval Reinosa 5 0 1 4 4:13 1
18 CD Barquereno 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)