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Atletico Albericia vs Naval Reinosa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Novoa M.
29' Event
Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Atletico Albericia and Naval Reinosa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Albericia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atletico Albericia
39%
Draws
30%
Naval Reinosa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Albericia come out ahead of Naval Reinosa on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Atletico Albericia Clean Sheet 20%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Albericia Naval Reinosa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Naval Reinosa
2:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Atletico Albericia
1:2
Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Naval Reinosa
2:3
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Atletico Albericia
2:2
Apr 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Naval Reinosa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Albericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Novoa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Naval Reinosa Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Albericia 32 / 100
Naval Reinosa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Albericia Naval Reinosa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Albericia's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Naval Reinosa conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Naval Reinosa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Albericia VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Samano342010452:2270
2CD Tropezon34207758:3067
3Atletico Albericia34197864:3964
4Cayon CD341951061:4162
5Castro341611745:2659
6Vimenor341761163:4257
7Bezana341591046:4154
8Torina341481249:4450
9CD Barquereno3413101160:5949
10Guarnizo341115844:3748
11SD Revilla341261646:5342
12CD Colindres34991636:5336
13Gama34991634:5636
14Atletico Mineros34981733:5835
15Barreda Balompie348101649:6534
16Naval Reinosa34961940:5933
17CD Siete Villas34772029:5328
18CD Monte34552433:6420