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Atletico Albericia vs UC Cartes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Novoa M.
84' Event
Acosta A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Atletico Albericia
20%
Draws
38%
UC Cartes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Albericia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Albericia have won more games recently than UC Cartes.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Albericia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atletico Albericia Clean Sheet 20%
UC Cartes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Albericia UC Cartes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs UC Cartes
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Atletico Albericia
0:0
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Atletico Albericia
0:1
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs UC Cartes
1:1
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Atletico Albericia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Albericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Novoa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

UC Cartes Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Albericia 42 / 100
UC Cartes 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Albericia UC Cartes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Albericia's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: UC Cartes conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

UC Cartes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Albericia VS UC Cartes
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13SD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819