Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024

Arzua

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Arteixo play Arzua in the Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024. Atletico Arteixo are favorites here. Recently, Atletico Arteixo averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Arzua averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Arteixo won 3, Arzua won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 23, 2024 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Atletico Arteixo and 1.00 for Arzua. This points to a Atletico Arteixo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%

Atletico Arteixo

17%

Draws

14%

Arzua

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Atletico Arteixo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Atletico Arteixo picked up more points recently compared to Arzua.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Atletico Arteixo Clean Sheet 23%

Arzua Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Arteixo	Arzua
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	21	4
Draws	11	5
Losses	7	21
Goals Scored	1.82	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Atletico Arteixo vs Arzua

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

5:1

Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Arzua vs Atletico Arteixo

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Apr 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Atletico Arteixo vs Arzua

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Arzua vs Atletico Arteixo

Possession: 49% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Arteixo Compare

Top Goalscorer Agullo P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Varela O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Arzua Compare

Top Goalscorer Semedo A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Arteixo 67 / 100

Arzua 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Arteixo Arzua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Arteixo Win (1)

Secondary Pick Atletico Arteixo & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.2%

1.64

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Arteixo attacking → ← attacking Arzua

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arteixo scored in 85% of their last 39 games.

Arzua let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Atletico Arteixo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Arzua lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

74 Points in last 5 17

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bergantinos	34	21	10	3	49:19	73
2	Gran Pena	34	15	16	3	48:30	61
3	Arosa SC	34	15	13	6	39:23	58
4	UD Ourense	34	15	10	9	47:34	55
5	Sarriana	34	14	8	12	43:35	50
6	Atletico Arteixo	34	11	14	9	46:39	47
7	Somozas	34	12	9	13	43:39	45
8	Estradense	34	11	12	11	31:32	45
9	Barbadas-Bentraces	34	10	14	10	33:34	44
10	Viveiro	34	12	8	14	39:42	44
11	Alondras	34	10	14	10	37:36	44
12	Silva SD	34	11	10	13	35:35	43
13	Lugo B	34	11	10	13	32:34	43
14	Betanzos CF	34	10	13	11	35:31	43
15	Rapido de Bouzas	34	11	9	14	38:40	42
16	Paiosaco	34	10	11	13	30:42	41
17	Pontevedra B	34	7	5	22	27:65	26
18	Arzua	34	4	6	24	24:66	18