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Atletico Arteixo vs Noia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Vazquez I.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Arteixo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Arteixo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atletico Arteixo
20%
Draws
44%
Noia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Noia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Arteixo lately — more wins on the board than Noia.
  • Model gives Atletico Arteixo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atletico Arteixo Clean Sheet 68%
Noia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Arteixo Noia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.69 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.20 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Noia
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Atletico Arteixo
2:3
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Noia
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Atletico Arteixo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Arteixo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.1

Noia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Arteixo 59 / 100
Noia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Arteixo Noia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Arteixo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arteixo scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Noia let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Arteixo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Arteixo VS Noia
2 Goals Scored 1.8
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.4
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Arteixo

(Home)
26 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 4
Alondras
20 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
05 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0
Atletico Arteixo
07 Jun
Compostela
2 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 6

Noia

(Away)
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Cambados
0 : 3
Noia
12 Apr
Noia
0 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)