Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025

Atletico Ascoli

2 - 0

Civitanovese Calcio

Our Tip

Match Events

Maio F.

20'

Didio L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 game between Atletico Ascoli and Civitanovese Calcio finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Atletico Ascoli

40%

Draws

29%

Civitanovese Calcio

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Atletico Ascoli come out ahead of Civitanovese Calcio on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%

Civitanovese Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Ascoli	Civitanovese Calcio
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	14	7
Draws	11	12
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.75	0
Goals Conceded	1.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group F

Atletico Ascoli vs Civitanovese Calcio

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group F

Civitanovese Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Maio F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Didio L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Civitanovese Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ascoli 32 / 100

Civitanovese Calcio 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Ascoli Civitanovese Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ascoli scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Civitanovese Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Atletico Ascoli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ascoli VS -

1.75 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sambenedettese	34	21	9	4	61:21	72
2	Aquila Calcio	34	17	11	6	48:31	62
3	Teramo	34	17	9	8	51:33	60
4	Calcio Chieti	34	16	11	7	52:39	58
5	Fossombrone	34	12	14	8	44:36	50
6	Ancona	34	13	8	13	35:40	47
7	Avezzano	34	13	7	14	41:43	46
8	Castelfidardo	34	12	9	13	39:34	45
9	Atletico Ascoli	34	10	13	11	35:39	43
10	Vigor Senigallia	34	9	15	10	36:38	42
11	Termoli	34	9	14	11	37:44	41
12	Recanatese	34	10	10	14	42:53	40
13	AS Sora	34	9	13	12	32:39	40
14	Notaresco Calcio	34	10	8	16	37:45	38
15	Civitanovese Calcio	34	8	13	13	31:39	37
16	Roma City	34	8	11	15	32:36	35
17	Isernia	34	8	10	16	32:57	34
18	Fermana	34	6	11	17	24:42	27