Sport Picks

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Atletico Ascoli vs Matese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Minicucci M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 game between Atletico Ascoli and Matese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Atletico Ascoli
30%
Draws
23%
Matese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Ascoli come out ahead of Matese on wins alone.
  • Atletico Ascoli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Matese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ascoli Matese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 12 8
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.4 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Matese
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Atletico Ascoli
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Minicucci M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Matese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ascoli 95 / 100
Matese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ascoli Matese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ascoli found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Matese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Atletico Ascoli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ascoli VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ascoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1
Maceratese
06 Sept
Angelana
2 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
08 Aug
Pineto
1 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Matese

(Away)
05 May
Matese
0 : 0
Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0
Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2
Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0
Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)