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Atletico Astorga vs Burgos CF B Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Atletico Astorga
15%
Draws
69%
Burgos CF B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burgos CF B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Astorga average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Burgos CF B's 1.24.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Burgos CF B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 18%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Astorga Burgos CF B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Astorga vs Burgos CF B
0:0
Oct 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Burgos CF B vs Atletico Astorga
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Burgos CF B
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs Atletico Astorga
3:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Burgos CF B
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Astorga 10 / 100
Burgos CF B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Astorga Burgos CF B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Astorga found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Burgos CF B conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Atletico Astorga went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Astorga VS Burgos CF B
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Astorga

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

Burgos CF B

(Away)
03 Oct
Mirandes B
1 : 2
Burgos CF B
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)