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Atletico Astorga vs Lugo B

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
El Battioui A.
42' Event
90' Event
Cervero A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Atletico Astorga and Lugo B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Astorga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Atletico Astorga
20%
Draws
46%
Lugo B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Astorga come out ahead of Lugo B on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lugo B's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 12%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Astorga Lugo B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Atletico Astorga vs Lugo B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Astorga Compare

Top Goalscorer El Battioui A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cervero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lugo B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Astorga 19 / 100
Lugo B 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Astorga Lugo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Astorga's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lugo B let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Atletico Astorga remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Astorga VS Lugo B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.83
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Astorga

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Palencia CF
26 Aug
Atletico Astorga
2 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS
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Lugo B

(Away)
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0
Gran Pena
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