Sport Picks
Atletico Astorga vs Penaranda de Bracamonte
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between Atletico Astorga and Penaranda de Bracamonte finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Astorga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atletico Astorga come out ahead of Penaranda de Bracamonte on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 68%
Penaranda de Bracamonte Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Astorga | Penaranda de Bracamonte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Penaranda de Bracamonte
4:1
Nov 14, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Penaranda de Bracamonte vs Atletico Astorga
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Astorga 41 / 100
Penaranda de Bracamonte 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Astorga Penaranda de Bracamonte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Astorga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atletico Astorga scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Penaranda de Bracamonte conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Atletico Astorga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Astorga VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Astorga
(Home) 21 Aug
Atletico Astorga
1 : 1 Leonesa
15 Aug
La Baneza
2 : 0 Atletico Astorga
08 Aug
Atletico Astorga
2 : 2 Deportivo Fabril
03 May
UD Ourense
1 : 1 Atletico Astorga
26 Apr
Atletico Astorga
1 : 0 Sarriana
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Atletico Astorga
1 : 1 Leonesa
08 Aug
Atletico Astorga
2 : 2 Deportivo Fabril
26 Apr
Atletico Astorga
1 : 0 Sarriana
18 Apr
Atletico Astorga
0 : 0 Burgos CF B
04 Apr
Atletico Astorga
3 : 4 Lealtad
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Penaranda de Bracamonte
(Away) 20 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
3 : 1 Real Burgos CF
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0 Penaranda de Bracamonte
05 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
0 : 0 Bupolsa
30 May
Almazan
4 : 2 Penaranda de Bracamonte
22 May
Penaranda de Bracamonte
1 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 6
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0 Penaranda de Bracamonte
30 May
Almazan
4 : 2 Penaranda de Bracamonte
15 May
La Granja
3 : 1 Penaranda de Bracamonte
09 May
Real Burgos CF
0 : 2 Penaranda de Bracamonte
25 Apr
Bupolsa
2 : 0 Penaranda de Bracamonte
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palencia CA | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 29:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Atletico Astorga | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 26:11 | 35 |
| 3 | Leonesa B | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 25:18 | 35 |
| 4 | La Virgen | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22:18 | 31 |
| 5 | Atletico Tordesillas | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:22 | 26 |
| 6 | Bembibre | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 17:20 | 26 |
| 7 | La Baneza | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS B | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 17:26 | 22 |
| 9 | Santa Marta Tormes | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Penaranda de Bracamonte | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Becerril | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 10:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 54:10 | 57 |
| 2 | Burgos CF B | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Numancia B | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 40:34 | 39 |
| 4 | Arandina | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 41:31 | 36 |
| 5 | Mirandes B | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 30:21 | 33 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25:23 | 31 |
| 7 | Almazan | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:31 | 31 |
| 8 | Colegios Diocesanos | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 19:42 | 23 |
| 9 | La Granja | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24:30 | 22 |
| 10 | Real Burgos CF | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18:37 | 19 |
| 11 | CD Cebrerena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 18:36 | 19 |
| 12 | Bupolsa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:35 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
