Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Astorga vs Portugalete

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Erdozia O.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Atletico Astorga and Portugalete finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugalete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atletico Astorga
20%
Draws
57%
Portugalete
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portugalete come out ahead of Atletico Astorga on wins alone.
  • Portugalete are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 16%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Astorga Portugalete
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.31 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Astorga vs Portugalete
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Astorga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Portugalete Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdozia O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Astorga 19 / 100
Portugalete 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Astorga Portugalete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugalete Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Astorga found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Portugalete has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico Astorga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Astorga VS Portugalete
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Astorga

(Home)
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Palencia CF
26 Aug
Atletico Astorga
2 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS
21 Aug
Atletico Astorga
1 : 1
Leonesa
15 Aug
La Baneza
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
Page 1 of 6

Portugalete

(Away)
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
19 Aug
Leioa
1 : 1
Portugalete
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0
Barakaldo
05 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0
Rayo Cantabria
01 Aug
Sestao
2 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marino De Luanco 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Coruxo FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Real Oviedo B 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Portugalete 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Sestao 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 Eibar B 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Amorebieta 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
10 Gernika Club 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
11 Arosa SC 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
12 Bergantinos 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
13 Basconia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Llanera 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 Rayo Cantabria 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Atletico Astorga 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 Alaves B 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
18 Compostela 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)