Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Atlanta vs Almagro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Don León Kolbowski, Buenos Aires
Atletico Atlanta Logo

Atletico Atlanta

1 - 3
FT
Almagro Logo

Almagro

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Marchioni J.
Assist: De La Vega F.
15' Event
Vitale J.
Assist: Marchioni J.
33'
Sub
Arguello D. In: Sosa R.
Out: Arguello D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Atletico Atlanta and Almagro finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almagro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atletico Atlanta
20%
Draws
29%
Almagro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Atlanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Atlanta come out ahead of Almagro on wins alone.
  • Atletico Atlanta are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 68%
Almagro Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Atlanta Almagro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.14 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Almagro
1:3
Jun 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Atletico Atlanta
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Atletico Atlanta
0:0
Apr 15, 2025 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Almagro
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Atletico Atlanta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Atlanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Almagro Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchioni J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitale J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Atlanta 50 / 100
Almagro 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Atlanta Almagro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Atlanta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Atlanta scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Almagro has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Atletico Atlanta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Atlanta VS Almagro
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Atlanta

(Home)
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
30 Aug
Atletico Atlanta
0 : 1
San Martin S.J.
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
22 Aug
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
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Almagro

(Away)
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Almagro
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2
Gimnasia Jujuy
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1
Almagro
22 Aug
Almagro
0 : 0
Colegiales
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 29 16 7 6 47:27 55
3 Godoy Cruz 29 14 7 8 36:25 49
4 Deportivo Madryn 29 12 10 7 42:28 46
5 Almirante Brown 29 12 10 7 23:16 46
6 Colon Santa Fe 29 12 9 8 35:25 45
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 29 8 13 8 22:17 37
10 Racing Cordoba 29 9 8 12 26:34 35
11 Chaco For Ever 29 8 9 12 26:29 33
12 Defensores de Belgrano 29 7 12 10 22:26 33
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 29 6 13 10 19:27 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 29 14 11 4 31:15 53
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 29 15 7 7 44:35 52
4 Atletico Atlanta 29 15 3 11 34:28 48
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 29 12 9 8 31:26 45
6 Midland 29 12 8 9 32:25 44
7 San Martin S.J. 29 11 9 9 31:27 42
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 29 11 7 11 36:30 40
10 Colegiales 29 11 7 11 29:28 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Quilmes 29 9 8 12 28:24 35
13 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
14 Agropecuario 29 8 9 12 25:34 33
15 Nueva Chicago 29 8 8 13 21:28 32
16 Patronato 29 5 15 9 23:30 30
17 Chacarita Juniors 29 7 6 16 19:31 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 29 5 8 16 23:49 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)