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Stadium Background

Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Thu, Nov 12, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Balboa host Inca Aruba in the Primera Division. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Atletico Balboa at 0.83 goals for, 1.72 against; Inca Aruba at 0.76 for, 1.82 against. Past meetings favor Inca Aruba slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.56) point toward Inca Aruba. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atletico Balboa
20%
Draws
40%
Inca Aruba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Balboa lately — more wins on the board than Inca Aruba.
  • Atletico Balboa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Atletico Balboa Clean Sheet 15%
Inca Aruba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Balboa Inca Aruba
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 6 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.83 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Primera Division
Inca Aruba vs Atletico Balboa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Balboa 48 / 100
Inca Aruba 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Balboa Inca Aruba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Balboa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inca Aruba has conceded goals in 82% of their last 17 outings.

Difficult form: Inca Aruba registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Atletico Balboa's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Balboa VS Inca Aruba
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Balboa

(Home)
25 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 2
Atletico Balboa
18 Oct
Atletico Balboa
2 : 2
Aguila
11 Oct
Atletico Balboa
0 : 1
FAS
03 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Atletico Balboa
29 Sept
Atletico Balboa
0 : 2
Cacahuatique
Page 1 of 6

Inca Aruba

(Away)
24 Oct
Inca Aruba
0 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
16 Oct
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Inca Aruba
10 Oct
Inca Aruba
1 : 4
Platense Municipal
05 Oct
FAS
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 16 9 5 2 29:12 32
2 FAS 17 9 4 4 28:18 31
3 Metapan 17 9 3 5 23:18 30
4 Aguila 17 7 6 4 30:21 27
5 Inter Santa Tecla 17 6 8 3 24:16 26
6 Platense Municipal 17 7 5 5 25:20 26
7 Alianza FC 16 5 8 3 23:21 23
8 Municipal Limeno 17 6 3 8 26:26 21
9 Inca Aruba 17 4 4 9 13:31 16
10 Atletico Balboa 17 3 5 9 16:28 14
11 Cacahuatique 17 2 7 8 18:29 13
12 Fuerte San Francisco 17 2 6 9 14:29 12
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)