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Atletico Barinas vs Barquisimeto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Rodriguez D.
18' Event
Rondon J.
42' Event
Diaz A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2 game between Atletico Barinas and Barquisimeto finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barquisimeto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Atletico Barinas
20%
Draws
51%
Barquisimeto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barquisimeto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Barinas haven't matched Barquisimeto's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Barquisimeto's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Barquisimeto here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Atletico Barinas Clean Sheet 14%
Barquisimeto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Barinas Barquisimeto
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Barquisimeto
1:2
Aug 15, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Atletico Barinas
5:1
May 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Barquisimeto
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Atletico Barinas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Barinas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Barquisimeto Compare

Top Goalscorer Rondon J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Barinas 27 / 100
Barquisimeto 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Barinas Barquisimeto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barquisimeto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Barinas scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Defensive concern: Barquisimeto conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Atletico Barinas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Barinas VS Barquisimeto
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Barinas

(Home)
07 Oct
Zamora
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
04 Oct
Urena
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Zamora 2
2 : 1
Atletico Barinas
20 Sept
Atletico Barinas
3 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello B
Page 1 of 6

Barquisimeto

(Away)
07 Oct
Barquisimeto
1 : 4
Aragua
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4
Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Barquisimeto
3 : 0
Urena
16 Sept
Zamora 2
0 : 2
Barquisimeto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 29 19 6 4 51:22 63
2 Barquisimeto 29 15 8 6 52:32 53
3 Yaracuyanos 29 13 7 9 41:28 46
4 Urena 29 12 10 7 41:34 46
5 Zamora 2 29 11 7 11 46:44 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 30 11 7 12 40:50 40
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 30 9 7 14 38:44 34
8 Atletico Barinas 30 9 5 16 50:61 32
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 24 12 5 7 32:21 41
3 Bolivar 25 12 4 9 31:29 40
4 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 24 8 8 8 27:26 32
6 Mineros 25 5 9 11 29:33 24
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 24 2 10 12 13:31 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)