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Atletico Cajazeirense vs Nacional PB Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Wesley
55'
Sub
Digao In: Braga J.
Out: Digao
59'
Sub
Max Nobrega In: Pingo
Out: Max Nobrega

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano game between Atletico Cajazeirense and Nacional PB finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Cajazeirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Atletico Cajazeirense
35%
Draws
39%
Nacional PB
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nacional PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Cajazeirense come out ahead of Nacional PB on wins alone.
  • Nacional PB are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Atletico Cajazeirense Clean Sheet 16%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Cajazeirense Nacional PB
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Paraibano
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Nacional PB
1:0
Feb 7, 2024 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Atletico Cajazeirense
1:2
May 2, 2021 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Atletico Cajazeirense
2:2
Mar 1, 2020 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Atletico Cajazeirense
0:0
Jan 22, 2020 Paraibano
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Nacional PB
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Cajazeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Nacional PB Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cajazeirense 28 / 100
Nacional PB 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Cajazeirense Nacional PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional PB let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Atletico Cajazeirense's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Atletico Cajazeirense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Cajazeirense VS Nacional PB
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Cajazeirense

(Home)
22 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2
Confianca PB
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
11 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
07 Feb
Sousa
2 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
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Nacional PB

(Away)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)