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Atletico Capixaba W vs Serra W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Capixaba Women 2025
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AI Match Summary

Serra W in this Capixaba Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serra W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Atletico Capixaba W
20%
Draws
30%
Serra W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Capixaba W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Serra W have won more games recently than Atletico Capixaba W.
  • Atletico Capixaba W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Atletico Capixaba W Clean Sheet 13%
Serra W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Capixaba W Serra W
Matches Played 20 9
Wins 2 4
Draws 5 0
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 3.45 3.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Capixaba Women
Atletico Capixaba W vs Serra W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Capixaba W 57 / 100
Serra W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Capixaba W Serra W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Capixaba W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Capixaba W scored in 65% of their last 20 outings.

Serra W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 9 matches.

Recent resilience: Atletico Capixaba W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Capixaba W VS Serra W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Capixaba W

(Home)
06 Oct
Atletico Capixaba W
0 : 11
Prosperidade W
27 Sept
America ES W
1 : 4
Atletico Capixaba W
20 Sept
Atletico Capixaba W
0 : 5
Prosperidade W
13 Sept
Harpia W
1 : 1
Atletico Capixaba W
30 Aug
Atletico Capixaba W
2 : 2
Estadual W
Page 1 of 4

Serra W

(Away)
24 Aug
Estadual W
2 : 0
Serra W
17 Aug
Serra W
0 : 7
Estadual W
10 Aug
Serra W
0 : 5
Prosperidade W
03 Aug
Vila Nova ES W
0 : 1
Serra W
26 Jul
Serra W
0 : 6
MDE W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estadual W 7 7 0 0 30:5 21
2 Prosperidade W 7 6 0 1 42:6 18
3 MDE W 7 5 0 2 23:18 15
4 Serra W 7 4 0 3 9:19 12
5 Harpia W 7 3 0 4 11:17 9
6 Vila Nova ES W 7 1 1 5 11:16 4
7 EC Sao Geraldo W 7 1 0 6 10:33 3
8 Atletico Capixaba W 7 0 1 6 7:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba Women 2025 (Play Offs)