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Atletico Cearense vs Crateus

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Crateus in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crateus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Atletico Cearense
15%
Draws
65%
Crateus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Crateus have won more games recently than Atletico Cearense.
  • 65% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 20%
Crateus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Cearense Crateus
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 4 10
Draws 11 4
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Cearense 2
Atletico Cearense vs Crateus
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Atletico Cearense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cearense 32 / 100
Crateus 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Cearense Crateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crateus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Cearense's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Crateus conceded in 42% of 19 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Atletico Cearense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Cearense VS Crateus
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Cearense

(Home)
13 Jun
AE Altos
3 : 2
Atletico Cearense
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4
Atletico Cearense
17 May
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 6

Crateus

(Away)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)