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Atletico Cearense vs Crateus

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Domingão
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Crateus in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crateus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atletico Cearense
39%
Draws
30%
Crateus
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Crateus have won more games recently than Atletico Cearense.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 20%
Crateus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Cearense Crateus
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 4 10
Draws 11 4
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Cearense 2
Atletico Cearense vs Crateus
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Atletico Cearense
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cearense 32 / 100
Crateus 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Cearense Crateus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Cearense's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Crateus conceded in 42% of 19 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Atletico Cearense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Cearense VS Crateus
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa851214:716
2Crato84318:515
3Cariri FC82246:78
4Barbalha82244:88
5Guarani de Juazeiro82246:118
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapipoca850311:1015
2Crateus841310:413
3Guarany SC841312:813
4Caucaia83239:1411
5Atletico Cearense80446:124