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Atletico CP vs Amora

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio da Tapadinha, Lisbon
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Marques J.
46'
Sub
Almeida B. In: Paulinho
Out: Almeida B.
47'
Marques R.

AI Match Summary

Amora in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Atletico CP
20%
Draws
28%
Amora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico CP lately — more wins on the board than Amora.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Atletico CP taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 68%
Amora Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico CP Amora
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Amora
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Liga 3
Amora vs Atletico CP
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Liga 3
Amora vs Atletico CP
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Amora
0:1
Jan 13, 2024 Liga 3
Amora vs Atletico CP
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico CP Compare

Top Goalscorer Barandas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Amora Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antunes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico CP 95 / 100
Amora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico CP Amora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Atletico CP has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atletico CP's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atletico CP VS Amora
0.75 Goals Scored 0.86
1 Goals Conceded 0.71
50% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico CP

(Home)
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1
Oliveirense
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3
Atletico CP
15 Aug
Atletico CP
1 : 1
Mafra
08 Aug
Lusitano GC
0 : 1
Atletico CP
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Amora

(Away)
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1
Amora
25 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Lusitano GC
19 Apr
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Amora
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