Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023

Atletico CP

5 - 1

Esperanca de Lagos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico CP in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico CP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Atletico CP

11%

Draws

Esperanca de Lagos

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Atletico CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Atletico CP have won more games recently than Esperanca de Lagos.
Win probability leans Atletico CP's way, sitting at 80%.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 25%

Over 2.5 Goals 21%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Atletico CP Clean Sheet 68%

Esperanca de Lagos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico CP	Esperanca de Lagos
Matches Played	40	30
Wins	24	8
Draws	4	10
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0.75	0
Goals Conceded	1.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Esperanca de Lagos vs Atletico CP

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Nov 27, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Atletico CP vs Esperanca de Lagos

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 4 - 4

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico CP 86 / 100

Esperanca de Lagos 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico CP Esperanca de Lagos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico CP's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Esperanca de Lagos let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Esperanca de Lagos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico CP VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico CP	26	15	7	4	43:22	52
2	Lusitano GC	26	15	6	5	35:22	51
3	Juv. Evora	26	13	7	6	37:16	46
4	CD Rabo Peixe	26	13	6	7	33:19	45
5	Imortal	26	9	12	5	31:22	39
6	Fabril do Barreiro	26	11	6	9	31:26	39
7	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	26	10	9	7	37:33	39
8	Serpa	26	10	6	10	44:36	36
9	Oriental Dragon	26	10	6	10	35:36	36
10	SC Praiense	26	9	7	10	31:32	34
11	Esperanca de Lagos	26	7	10	9	28:38	31
12	SC Angrense	26	4	5	17	17:46	17
13	Olhanense	26	5	2	19	18:50	17
14	Ferreiras	26	3	7	16	17:39	16