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Atletico CP vs Ferreiras

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 game between Atletico CP and Ferreiras finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico CP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Atletico CP
15%
Draws
0%
Ferreiras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferreiras haven't matched Atletico CP's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Atletico CP a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 68%
Ferreiras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico CP Ferreiras
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 20 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.45 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Ferreiras vs Atletico CP
1:2
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Atletico CP vs Ferreiras
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico CP 95 / 100
Ferreiras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico CP Ferreiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico CP found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (38 games).

Ferreiras let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Ferreiras lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Atletico CP VS Ferreiras
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico CP

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1
Oliveirense
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3
Atletico CP
Page 1 of 8

Ferreiras

(Away)
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
22 Sept
Varzim
3 : 0
Ferreiras
16 Apr
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Atletico CP
08 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 1
Ferreiras
02 Apr
Serpa
2 : 1
Ferreiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)