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Atletico de Lugones vs Cudillero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 game between Atletico de Lugones and Cudillero finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico de Lugones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Atletico de Lugones
15%
Draws
0%
Cudillero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico de Lugones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Cudillero haven't matched Atletico de Lugones's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atletico de Lugones have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Atletico de Lugones Clean Sheet 20%
Cudillero Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Lugones Cudillero
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 20 30
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.78 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Atletico de Lugones
0:2
Dec 7, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Cudillero
2:0
May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Atletico de Lugones
1:3
Dec 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Cudillero
3:1
Apr 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Atletico de Lugones
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Lugones 36 / 100
Cudillero 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Lugones Cudillero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cudillero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cudillero conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Cudillero's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Atletico de Lugones scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico de Lugones VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Lugones

(Home)
01 Nov
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 6
Rayo Vallecano
11 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Oct
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1
Atletico de Lugones
13 May
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 2
Langreo
06 May
L Entregu CF
5 : 0
Atletico de Lugones
Page 1 of 7

Cudillero

(Away)
17 May
Cudillero
0 : 2
Universidad Oviedo
10 May
Astur
2 : 0
Cudillero
03 May
Praviano
2 : 0
Cudillero
26 Apr
Cudillero
0 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Apr
Llanes
2 : 0
Cudillero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lealtad 38 23 7 8 62:27 76
2 Langreo 38 23 7 8 62:28 76
3 Union Club Ceares 38 21 11 6 54:31 74
4 Praviano 38 21 9 8 57:36 72
5 Covadonga 38 20 11 7 70:35 71
6 Tuilla 38 19 7 12 67:38 64
7 Universidad Oviedo 38 19 7 12 52:30 64
8 Cudillero 38 19 6 13 59:51 63
9 L Entregu CF 38 17 8 13 48:39 59
10 Condal 38 14 13 11 47:34 55
11 Real Aviles B 38 13 10 15 51:55 49
12 Real Oviedo B 38 14 6 18 46:53 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 10 16 12 55:54 46
14 Atletico de Lugones 38 12 10 16 49:55 46
15 Lenense 38 10 8 20 29:54 38
16 Gijon Industrial 38 9 9 20 21:50 36
17 Andes CF 38 10 4 24 32:77 34
18 Candas CF 38 8 10 20 35:53 34
19 Luarca 38 6 10 22 23:66 28
20 Real Tapia 38 5 5 28 23:76 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)