Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico de Porcuna vs Melilla B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Atletico de Porcuna and Melilla B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico de Porcuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atletico de Porcuna
39%
Draws
31%
Melilla B
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Melilla B haven't matched Atletico de Porcuna's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 68%
Melilla B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Porcuna Melilla B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Melilla B
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs Atletico de Porcuna
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico de Porcuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Melilla B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Porcuna 41 / 100
Melilla B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Porcuna Melilla B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Atletico de Porcuna's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Melilla B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Melilla B has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico de Porcuna VS Melilla B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Porcuna

(Home)
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3
UD San Pedro
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 6

Melilla B

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
06 May
Melilla B
0 : 0
Motril
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Mijas Las Lagunas
4 : 1
Melilla B
11 Apr
Melilla B
0 : 1
Marbelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)