Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Osorio Y.
15' Event
Arenas L.
20' Event
Escobar A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2 game between Atletico El Vigia and Atletico Barinas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico El Vigia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Atletico El Vigia
28%
Draws
50%
Atletico Barinas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Atletico Barinas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Barinas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atletico Barinas a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Barinas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico El Vigia Atletico Barinas
Matches Played 25 17
Wins 5 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.5 2
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Atletico Barinas vs Atletico El Vigia
0:0
Jul 1, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas
0:0
May 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Atletico El Vigia
7:1
Apr 5, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico El Vigia Compare

Top Goalscorer Arenas L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Escobar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Atletico Barinas Compare

Top Goalscorer Osorio Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico El Vigia 22 / 100
Atletico Barinas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico El Vigia Atletico Barinas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Barinas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 17 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Atletico El Vigia scored in 60% of their last 25 outings.

Solid form: Atletico El Vigia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico El Vigia VS Atletico Barinas
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lara1695224:1432
2Barquisimeto1694324:1331
3Urena1686224:1530
4Zamora 21666425:2124
5Yaracuyanos1673621:1824
6Academia Puerto Cabello B1662820:2020
7Atletico Barinas1662831:3220
8Real Frontera16321116:2911
9Atletico El Vigia16141112:357
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Monagas B1483320:1327
2Deportivo Miranda1464410:822
3Bolivar1463514:1421
4Maritimo de Venezuela1455416:1320
5Dynamo Puerto FC1455416:1420
6Aragua1455412:1020
7Avila141948:1312
8Mineros140689:206